Makoto Ochi vs Zhe Li Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating second serve performance over the past six months, Li's success rate stands at 50.66%, significantly higher than Ochi's 35.8%. Could this give Li a crucial edge in maintaining service games? It seems likely.
• Regarding return game performance, Li has a clear advantage, winning 53.25% of points on their opponent's second serves, compared to Ochi’s 32.93%.
• On first serve returns, however, Ochi performs slightly better, winning 29.25% of points, whereas Li wins 25%.
• Under pressure, both players are comparably efficient at saving breakpoints, with Li slightly ahead at 45% versus Ochi’s 44.83%.
• Overall match-winning rates over the last year display Li’s higher percentage at 52.94% compared to Ochi's 41.67%.
• Surface preferences reveal Ochi excels on clay with a 63% win rate, whereas Li is strongest on hard courts, securing wins 59% of the time.
• Regarding match level, Li has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 291, compared to Ochi’s 401.88.
• In head-to-head matches, the record is tied 1-1, with Ochi winning the last encounter on a hard court in 2018.
• Ochi has been victorious in the only deciding set played between them, which could be crucial if this match extends to the final set.
• Break point conversion rates slightly favor Ochi at 43.48%, edging out Li’s 38.24% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 27, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the key performance indicators reveals that Li shows superior performance in recent second serve points and return game tactics. Li's stronger overall winning record from the past year and proficiency against higher-ranked opponents further bolster their profile as a formidable player in this matchup.

Despite Ochi having previously defeated Li in their last meeting, Li’s consistent performance on hard courts—Ochi’s lesser-preferred surface—along with Li’s superb deciding set record, suggests a favorable outcome for them.

Considering the comparative strengths and weaknesses of both players, Li appears to possess a slight edge in this upcoming match, making them the likely winner.